Who Will Be Facing Trump? The U.S 2020 Elections Cleared Up
Updated: Feb 13, 2020
With the US 2020 elections less than 10 months away, democrats and republicans alike are on the edge of their seats, waiting to hear which candidate will face Trump and possibly win the Whitehouse.
But, with the democratic party still undecided on who is to go against Trump this November, and the election process becoming more complicated by the day, many are unsure of what is happening and who is in the lead.
In this article, I will break down what has happened so far in the election, why it has become such a complication and who, so far, is most likely to face Trump.
However, before we begin, let’s dive into the American election process, so that we can further understand what’s happening today.
How Do The U.S. Elections Work?
There are 2 main political groups that usually fight for presidency in the U.S. These groups are called the Democratic and Republican Parties.
Trump, the current president, is part of the Republican party, meaning that most of America’s decisions are up to the Republicans, and that they, usually, have the last say.
Naturally, this is not beneficial for the democratic party, who have different beliefs to that of the Republicans, so, this election, they will be putting their best face forward, in order to have a chance against Trump and win back the Whitehouse.
Before the actual presidential election, however, a host of states hold another election called the primary or caucus. This part of the process will decide which candidate will run for election from each party.
Primary polls are traditional and more widespread, where a citizen simply places their vote.
Caucus polls, however, are much more complicated. Usually taking place in large venues split into different sections for each candidate, each voter must stand in a designated area for their vote to count.
This style of voting also offers the opportunity for voters to persuade one another in favor of their candidate.
As expected, this can sometimes get out of hand.
The 2 methods of voting mentioned above are largely influenced by presidential advertisements, debates and campaigns, meaning that those with more money behind them are at a greater advantage than those without.
These presidential debates are planned to run through February until the 3rd of March, more popularly known as ‘Super Tuesday.’
‘Super Tuesday’ is the single biggest day in the democratic race, where the largest number of states hold a presidential primary or caucus.
After all the states have handed in their results, the final decisions will be made in the 'Democratic National Convention' from 13 to 16 of July, where the nominees for president and vice-president will be chosen and announced to the public.
The Republican party goes through a similar process to select their candidate, however, considering Trump is already Republican, many states have begun to pull out from their primary polls in order to ensure Trump’s nomination.
The democratic candidates selected will then go on to (most likely) face Trump in the main election.
Why Is This Election Especially Complicated?
In 2016, Trump's undeniably surprising election proved to citizens of the U.S.A that anyone can become the next president.
This, in turn, encouraged many more candidates (32 to be exact, 19 of which have dropped out) to apply for presidency this year, making it harder for voters to settle on a democratic nominee as there are so many options.
Consequently, many of the polls that have already taken place have ended with extremely close results, creating confusion on who is in the lead.
Adding to this uncertainty is a recent caucus poll in Iowa (one of the most influential voting sessions) where, in order to avoid crowding and conflict in the large venues of a caucus poll, an app was designed to allow citizens to vote from home.
The development of the app was shaky, with relatively little testing, and turned matters from complicated to apocalyptic in a matter of minutes.
Precinct captains trying to report their numbers had to deal with a new, glitchy app and jammed phone lines. It took a full 24 hours for 71 percent of the votes to come in.
Due to the delay, the results for the Iowa poll were dramatically postponed, and even when they arrived, it was clear that some of the data wasn’t reported or calculated properly.
Who's In The Lead Today?
Honestly, it's still quite early to know for sure who will be the lucky democratic nominee.
Some polls consider Bernie Sanders in the lead, whilst others place Pete Buttigieg on top. Nevertheless, it's clear to see that the ball is in either one of these candidates' courts.
Today, Buttigieg (the youngest and openly gay nominee) has the most delegates, but it seems as though Bernie Sanders is picking up the pace.
However, estimates have recently announced that it will most likely be Sanders facing Trump:
To learn more about the candidates and what they stand for, click here.
All in all, this year’s presidential election is likely to be as spontaneous as last years.
With flawed results, harsh debates and election insecurities, it’s almost impossible to know for sure who will turn out on top.
What we can be confident about, however, is that Trump will most likely be the face of the opposition, yet, the jury is still out for the democratic party’s nomination.